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As Venezuela buckles under Trump, Iran sees an uncomfortable parallel CNNIran's Calculations Are Scrambled by U.S. Raid in Caracas The Wall Street JournalTrump's abduction of Maduro escalates concerns over potential war with Iran Al Jazeera
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It is unclear what, if anything, Venezuela would get in return for the oil, which is worth somewhere between $1.8 billion and $3 billion at current market prices.
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President says he will control money earned from sale of up to 50mn barrels of crude
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President Trump says his voters loved the Venezuela attack — here's what they think AP NewsLive Updates: Venezuela Projects Unity After Trump's Maduro Ouster The New York TimesMaduro raid killed about 75 in Venezuela, U.S. officials assess The Washington PostTrump's new imperialism recalls a dark period of US-led regime change CNNThe Fallout from the Capture of Nicolás Maduro The New Yorker
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Office of Public Affairs | Justice Department Sues Arizona and Connecticut for Failure to Produce Voter Rolls Department of Justice (.gov)The Trump administration is building a ‘national voter roll', former DOJ lawyers warn Democracy DocketU.S. Justice Department sues Connecticut for failure to provide voter registration lists WTNH.com
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Trump adds Venezuela to list of countries whose citizens must post bonds for U.S. visas AxiosTrump admin expands visa bond requirement to 38 countries, with fees up to $15K Fox NewsUS adds more nations, including Venezuela, to costly visa bond policy ReutersUS expands list of countries whose citizens must pay up to $15,000 bonds to apply for visas AP News
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Venezuela latest updates: Trump says U.S. is not at war after Maduro pleads not guilty in U.S. federal court YahooTrump says the U.S. isn't at war with Venezuela NBC NewsTrump Was Skeptical of Ousting Maduro—Until He Wasn't The Wall Street JournalUS may subsidize oil companies to rebuild Venezuela's energy infrastructure, Trump says Reuters
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Production hold-ups at large mines and fears about Trump tariffs have helped to fuel sharp rally since October
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 Topic: MediaPoliticsThe NYT "Needle" in 2016
The 2020 election showed that doing live reporting on election counts when the order of counting has a bias is misleading and emotionally draining. Of course, there is no actual "race" with totals moving back and forth, one candidate in the lead and then another. That's just an illusion created by the bias in the order. The result is actually a fixed fact after the polls close, and we're just uncovering different parts as time goes by.
It's a bit like scratching off a lottery card. The final result of the card is fixed, you just get some drama revealing bits of it at a time.
The press get good ratings and we can't stop them from reporting this, even when they know the reports are misleading. But instead of one number, there's really two numbers to show from partial results:
The best estimate of the final number based on your models and what data you have
The amount of uncertainty in that estimate (which you might show as a scalar, or as a distribution.)
As we know, Trump even worked to exploit that lie, known as the red mirage, to call the election into question. It's serious stuff.
This particular time, we the following large biases.
In person votes were usually counted before
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Main image:
IN THE annals of modern American economic policymaking, among the most revered pieces of legislation is the Tax Reform Act of 1986. During the three decades since its passage, Democrats and Republicans alike have hailed the law not only for overhauling the country''s tax system, which Jimmy Carter famously called 'a disgrace to the human race', but also for doing so with bipartisan support in both houses of Congress. As Republicans embark on yet another sweeping rewrite of the tax code, many point to the 1986 effort as a model to emulate. It was 'really something special', Donald Trump said in August. However, admirers of America''s last comprehensive revision of its tax code should be disappointed with the GOP''s current attempts.The bill that passed in 1986 took a long, arduous path to President Ronald Reagan''s desk. Originating out of a three-volume report by the Treasury department, it faced numerous brushes with death, and took more than two years to wind its way through Congress. The process included full committee hearings, markups and deliberations. The final bill eliminated many deductions, credits and exemptions that favoured some taxpayers over others. This generated new revenues, which were then used to reduce tax rates, mainly for low and middle-income individuals. The bill did ...
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